I enjoy listening to Get Along by Kenny Chesney periodically, often smiling to myself. I was reminded of this song recently while talking about careers and the AI impact during VSLive San Diego.
On one hand, most of the people I surveyed or chatted with were using AI to accomplish some tasks. However, very few are using it in a way that would eliminate their positions or do the majority of their work. On the third hand, lots of them worry about their organizations attempting to get by with more AI and less humans in the future.
I think that last one is a natural point of view in the world today. I’m sure plenty of executives are hoping they can reduce their future labor costs with machine assistance. Quite a few are finding that the machine assistance isn’t that cheap, and humans are still needed. I don’t know where this will shake out in the future, but I guess that many of our organizations will shrink a bit and use less developers than they might have now. I also think there will still be plenty of developer jobs, but AI will be used judiciously to supplement the capabilities of workers.
This means workers will need to know how to work with AI effectively and efficiently.
Perhaps there will be new departments and new companies that spring up and create the need for more workers. I hope that’s the case, but I bet a lot of teams will lose some humans and replace them with AI. The cost of benefits continues to rise, and I don’t know that many companies will grow their businesses enough to keep all their humans and spend on AI. That’s adding lots of salary/token costs because of growth. Some organizations will have a lot of growth, but I suspect many companies will see that they have tasks that need humans and tasks that don’t.
The common question from our discussions was “which humans will stick around?”
Technical competency isn’t likely to be the deciding factor. You being a 10x engineer or the best coder might not keep you around. Spotting problem code and better guiding AIs will matter. The mentorship skills you use with junior staffers, and the patience, will become important. Some people are learning those skills now.
The one thing most people agree on is that you should get along well with others. Those soft skills – the ability to communicate, being pleasant, making others feel not only comfortable but wanting to work with you – will matter most. If others don’t enjoy collaborating with you, especially your boss, I can see your position being precarious and potentially slotted for a layoff.
This isn’t to say you can’t argue a point of view or debate an approach. The thing you should remember is that when you do present your view, it is seen as an engaging and spirited debate, not an antagonistic war. People want to work with others when they feel some bond with them. When they don’t, they might be indifferent or even dread interactions. Feeling dread, hesitation, or a reluctance to engage is a sign that someone isn’t a part of a team.
Those who aren’t part of the team might be the easiest to replace with an agent in the future.
Steve Jones
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